Manisa F.K. vs Keçiörengücü: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, Manisa
The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Manisa F.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Keçiörengücü?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Manisa F.K. (1,832) and Keçiörengücü (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manisa F.K. have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Keçiörengücü have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Manisa F.K. win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Keçiörengücü win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü 2-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 2-2 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 1-2 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Keçiörengücü 4-0 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Keçiörengücü 1-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Manisa F.K. 0-0 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K. on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Keçiörengücü score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Keçiörengücü | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manisa F.K. sit 3rd in 1. Lig (7 points from 3 matches) and Keçiörengücü sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manisa F.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manisa F.K. vs Keçiörengücü?
- The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Manisa F.K..
- Where and when is Manisa F.K. vs Keçiörengücü played?
- Manisa F.K. vs Keçiörengücü is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.