Burton Albion vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Doncaster the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Doncaster wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,833) and Doncaster (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Doncaster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 3J. Armer
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 26F. Delap
- 12G. Evans
- 34C. Addai
Doncaster
3-4-2-1- 10A. May
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 8G. Broadbent
- 11L. Ayinde
- 21I. Hutchinson
- 16T. Nixon
- 12N. Byrne
- 27S. Grehan
- 6J. McGrath
- 1Tommy Simkin
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Doncaster have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burton Albion win, 1 draw, 4 Doncaster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster 1-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-2 Doncaster | League One |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Doncaster 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Doncaster 2-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Burton Albion 2-0 Doncaster | League One |
Last archived meeting: Doncaster vs Burton Albion on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Doncaster | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 10th in League One (13 points from 11 matches) and Doncaster sit 17th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Doncaster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Doncaster the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Doncaster played?
- Burton Albion vs Doncaster is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.