Oxford United vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Oxford United (1,862) and Notts County (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxford United vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 23S. Dembélé
- 11T. Goodrham
- 4Kai Andrews
- 32L. Sibley
- 8C. Brannagan
- 6M. Helik
- 26J. Currie
- 15B. Spencer
- 3C. Brown
- 1J. Cumming
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 11C. Grant
- 19L. Smyth
- 20S. Robertson
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Notts County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Oxford United wins, 0 draws, 0 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notts County 1-2 Oxford United | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Notts County 2-4 Oxford United | League Two |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Oxford United 3-1 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Oxford United on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Notts County | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford United sit 4th in League One (23 points from 12 matches) and Notts County sit 17th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oxford United | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 23 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Oxford United vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Notts County played?
- Oxford United vs Notts County is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.