Match

Wigan vs Stevenage: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan

WiganStevenage

The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wigan vs Stevenage?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Wigan (1,779) and Stevenage (1,836).

Wigan win37 %
Draw29 %
Stevenage win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stevenage have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wigan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leyton Orient(home)0-2League One
Aug 18, 2026Aston Villa U21(home)3-2EFL Trophy
Aug 15, 2026Cambridge United(away)2-3League One
Aug 8, 2026Barnsley(away)1-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Grimsby(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Stevenage
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Reading(home)0-3League Cup
Aug 22, 2026Oxford United(home)1-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Burton Albion(away)1-1League One
Aug 7, 2026Wycombe(away)2-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Colchester(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wigan win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Stevenage win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Stevenage 1-0 WiganLeague One
Nov 29, 2025Wigan 0-0 StevenageLeague One
Jan 18, 2025Stevenage 1-2 WiganLeague One
Sep 24, 2024Wigan 0-0 StevenageLeague One
Jan 27, 2024Wigan 2-3 StevenageLeague One
Oct 7, 2023Stevenage 1-0 WiganLeague One

Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Wigan on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wigan1.21.156/157/15
Stevenage0.81.556/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wigan sit 24th in League One (0 points from 2 matches) and Stevenage sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Stevenage2011231
24Wigan2002250

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Stevenage?
The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Stevenage.
Where and when is Wigan vs Stevenage played?
Wigan vs Stevenage is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wigan and Stevenage

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