AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | QPR(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Wimbledon win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Plymouth | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Plymouth 1-2 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Plymouth 2-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Sep 18, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Plymouth 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 23rd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.