AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,896).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
5-3-2- 9J. Stockley
- 23H. Cornick
- 12A. Smith
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 3S. Seddon
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 7J. Tilley
- 33I. Ogundere
- 39J. Bursik
Plymouth
3-4-2-1- 9W. Evans
- 7H. White
- 10X. Amaechi
- 11R. Curtis
- 23B. Ibrahim
- 6M. Boateng
- 14O. Irow
- 45W. Harding
- 22A. Hartridge
- 2M. Ross
- 1M. Mahoney
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Wimbledon win, 1 draw, 4 Plymouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth 2-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Plymouth | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Plymouth 1-2 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Plymouth 2-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Sep 18, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Plymouth | League One |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 17th in League One (16 points from 14 matches) and Plymouth sit 6th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Plymouth | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 16 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.