Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium MK, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,762 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
On Elo ratings, Milton Keynes Dons has 1,783 points and Burton Albion 1,692.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 17S. Silvera
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 8A. Gilbey
- 22I. Fullah
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 4K. Chauke
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 6T. Sibbick
- 20J. Sraha
- 34C. Addai
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Burton Albion have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 6-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Milton Keynes Dons wins, 2 draws, 0 Burton Albion wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Burton Albion 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Burton Albion 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Burton Albion 1-2 Milton Keynes Dons | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Burton Albion 1-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th in League One (18 points from 13 matches) and Burton Albion sit 15th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium MK, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.