Stevenage vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
On Elo ratings, Stevenage has 1,958 points and Burton Albion 1,869.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Burton Albion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
4-4-1-1- 9J. Magennis
- 10D. Kemp
- 8D. Phillips
- 18O. Sanderson
- 23L. Thompson
- 24M. Smith
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 5C. Piergianni
- 15T. Vancooten
- 14S. Earley
- 1T. Setford
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 14W. Collar
- 16C. Tilt
- 12G. Evans
- 6T. Sibbick
- 34C. Addai
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Burton Albion have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stevenage wins, 3 draws, 1 Burton Albion win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Burton Albion 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Stevenage 2-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Stevenage 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Stevenage on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 9th in League One (15 points from 10 matches) and Burton Albion sit 14th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 14 |
A question about Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Burton Albion played?
- Stevenage vs Burton Albion is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.