Stevenage vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,836) and Burton Albion (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burton Albion have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stevenage win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Burton Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Burton Albion 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Stevenage 2-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Stevenage 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Stevenage on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 19th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Burton Albion sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Burton Albion played?
- Stevenage vs Burton Albion is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.