Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Burton Albion starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burton Albion win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sheffield Wednesday win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Burton Albion 3-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 4-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-3 Burton Albion | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Burton Albion 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Jan 1, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Burton Albion | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 7th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.