Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burton Albion wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,408 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,954) and Sheffield Wednesday (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 4K. Chauke
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 8C. Webster
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 23Emeka Adeile
- 16C. Tilt
- 20J. Sraha
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 34C. Addai
Sheffield Wednesday
4-2-3-1- 50D. Keillor-Dunn
- 10B. Bannan
- 8C. Slattery
- 18Jaden Heskey
- 16B. Mitchell
- 9J. Lowe
- 7Y. Valery
- 5D. Bernard
- 6L. Cooper
- 26S. Swinkels
- 1J. Lumley
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 2-6 | League One |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burton Albion wins, 0 draws, 3 Sheffield Wednesday wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Burton Albion 3-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 4-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-3 Burton Albion | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Burton Albion 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Jan 1, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Burton Albion | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 15th in League One (17 points from 15 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 17 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.