Barnsley vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Barnsley the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnsley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Burton Albion?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,798) and Burton Albion (1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnsley vs Burton Albion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 17Amani Richards
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 3J. Armer
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 26F. Delap
- 12G. Evans
- 34C. Addai
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Burton Albion have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Barnsley wins, 2 draws, 0 Burton Albion wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Barnsley 3-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Barnsley 0-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley | League One |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Barnsley on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 21st in League One (8 points from 9 matches) and Burton Albion sit 10th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Barnsley vs Burton Albion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnsley the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Burton Albion played?
- Barnsley vs Burton Albion is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.