Match

Bury Town vs Anstey Nomads: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk

Bury TownAnstey Nomads

The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Bury Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bury Town vs Anstey Nomads?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Bury Town (1,848) and Anstey Nomads (1,922).

Bury Town win34 %
Draw26 %
Anstey Nomads win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Anstey Nomads have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bury Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leamington(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Stratford Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Stamford(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Halesowen Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026AFC Sudbury(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Anstey Nomads
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leighton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Leamington(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leiston(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Wellingborough Town(home)1-0Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

How many goals should we expect?

Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bury Town1.91.168/158/15
Anstey Nomads2.40.677/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bury Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Anstey Nomads sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bury Town3300519
15Anstey Nomads2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bury Town vs Anstey Nomads?
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Bury Town.
Where and when is Bury Town vs Anstey Nomads played?
Bury Town vs Anstey Nomads is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Atalian Servest Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bury Town and Anstey Nomads

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