Leiston vs Stamford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Stamford. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Stamford?
Leiston starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,632).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Stamford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Stamford
Not enough data to predict the Stamford lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stamford have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Loughborough University(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston wins, 1 draw, 2 Stamford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Stamford 2-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Leiston 3-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stamford 0-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Leiston 1-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Stamford 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Leiston 3-2 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Stamford | 0.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 3/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (12 points from 10 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
A question about Leiston vs Stamford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stamford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Stamford played?
- Leiston vs Stamford is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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