Leiston vs Stamford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Stamford?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Leiston (1,790) and Stamford (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stamford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Stamford 2-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Leiston 3-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stamford 0-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Leiston 1-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Stamford 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Leiston 3-2 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stamford?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Stamford played?
- Leiston vs Stamford is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Hitchin TownvsBanbury United
- Dec 5, 2026Bury TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Dec 5, 2026Halesowen TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 5, 2026AlvechurchvsReal Bedford
- Dec 5, 2026Needham MarketvsRacing Club Warwick
- Dec 5, 2026Peterborough SportsvsWorcester City
- Dec 5, 2026Rushall OlympicvsRedditch United
- Dec 5, 2026Stratford TownvsStourbridge