Needham Market vs Racing Club Warwick: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Racing Club Warwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Racing Club Warwick?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,800) and Racing Club Warwick (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Club Warwick have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | St Neots Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Club Warwick score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Club Warwick | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Racing Club Warwick sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Racing Club Warwick?
- The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Racing Club Warwick.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Racing Club Warwick played?
- Needham Market vs Racing Club Warwick is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Hitchin TownvsBanbury United
- Dec 5, 2026Bury TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Dec 5, 2026Halesowen TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 5, 2026AlvechurchvsReal Bedford
- Dec 5, 2026LeistonvsStamford
- Dec 5, 2026Peterborough SportsvsWorcester City
- Dec 5, 2026Rushall OlympicvsRedditch United
- Dec 5, 2026Stratford TownvsStourbridge