Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,043 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Bury Town (1,924) and Bromsgrove Sporting (1,878).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury Town
Not enough data to predict the Bury Town lineup.
Bromsgrove Sporting
Not enough data to predict the Bromsgrove Sporting lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bromsgrove Sporting have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bury Town wins, 2 draws, 1 Bromsgrove Sporting win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting 1-0 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 2-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (30 points from 12 matches) and Bromsgrove Sporting sit 3rd (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
A question about Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting played?
- Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Atalian Servest Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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