Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Bromsgrove Sporting have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bury Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 2-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting played?
- Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Atalian Servest Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026StamfordvsAlvechurch
- Dec 12, 2026StourbridgevsHitchin Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeistonvsBanbury United
- Dec 12, 2026Redditch UnitedvsReal Bedford
- Dec 12, 2026Rushall OlympicvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 12, 2026Stratford TownvsKettering Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeamingtonvsBishop's Stortford
- Dec 12, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRacing Club Warwick