Bury vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 8, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Accrington ST have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Peterborough(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Southend(home) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Accrington ST win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2019 | Accrington ST 2-4 Bury | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2015 | Accrington ST 1-2 Bury | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | Accrington ST 0-1 Bury | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Bury 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Feb 18, 2014 | Accrington ST 0-0 Bury | League Two |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Bury 3-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy