Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Wednesday the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Sheffield Wednesday (1,667) and Accrington ST (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Accrington ST have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bury(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Accrington ST win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 Accrington ST | League One |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Accrington ST 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Accrington ST 2-3 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Accrington ST | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Wednesday the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.