Bury vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 26, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Southend(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 8, 2019 | Leyton Orient(home) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Rochdale(home) | 3-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bury win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 AFC Wimbledon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2018 | AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Bury | League One |
| Feb 6, 2018 | Bury 2-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Nov 19, 2016 | AFC Wimbledon 5-1 Bury | League One |
| Nov 15, 2016 | AFC Wimbledon 5-0 Bury | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Bury 2-2 AFC Wimbledon | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Bury 1-2 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy