Bury vs Curzon Ashton: result 3-2 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Curzon Ashton?
Bury won 3-2 on August 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 33′603500Bury
- 42′553283Curzon Ashton
- 45′553283Curzon Ashton
- 65′M. TourayBury
- 75′?Bury
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bury win at 48%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atherton Collieries(away) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-3 | National League - North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 0.9 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 9th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 22 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Curzon Ashton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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