Bury vs Swindon Town: result 0-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town won 0-1 on October 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 1′M. RitchieSwindon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Swindon Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Stevenage(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Tranmere(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Preston(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2012 | Colchester(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 25, 2012 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy