Busan Transportation vs Changwon City: result 2-1 and analysis
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 16, 2016 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Busan Asiad Auxiliary Stadium, Busan
Full time
What was the result of Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Busan Transportation won 2-1 on April 16, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 41′Myung-Jae ShinBusan Transportation (pen.)
- 60′Myung-Jae ShinBusan Transportation
- 73′Jung-Hwan LeeChangwon City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Busan Transportation have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Changwon City have 1, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | Ulsan Dolphins(home) | 2-3 | K3 League |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 1-3 | K3 League |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Yongin City(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2016 | Gyeongju HNP(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Yongin City(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Mokpo City(away) | 0-0 | K3 League |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Gangneung City(home) | 0-0 | K3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Busan Transportation score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Changwon City score 0.8 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan Transportation | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| Changwon City | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3 | 1/4 | 0/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busan Transportation sit 3rd in K3 League (36 points from 19 matches) and Changwon City sit 6th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Busan Transportation | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy