Busko-Zdroj vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Busko-Zdroj (1,715) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busko-Zdroj | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Busko-Zdroj.
- Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice played?
- Busko-Zdroj vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026KSZO 1929vsNaprzód
- Sep 5, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsMoravia Morawica
- Sep 5, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 5, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 5, 2026JarosławvsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 5, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsChełmianka Chełm
- Sep 5, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsStar Starachowice
- Sep 5, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg