Wisła Kraków II vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion KS Dalin, Myślenice
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Wisła Kraków II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Kraków II vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Kraków II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Wisła Kraków II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Wisła Kraków II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Wisła Kraków II 2-4 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-1 Wisła Kraków II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Wisła Kraków II 0-1 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Wisła Kraków II on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Kraków II | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Kraków II sit 4th in III Liga - Group 4 (10 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | Wisła Kraków II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Kraków II vs Chełmianka Chełm?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Wisła Kraków II.
- Where and when is Wisła Kraków II vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
- Wisła Kraków II vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion KS Dalin, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026KSZO 1929vsNaprzód
- Sep 5, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsMoravia Morawica
- Sep 5, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 5, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 5, 2026JarosławvsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 5, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsStar Starachowice
- Sep 5, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 5, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsWiślanie Jaśkowice