Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna
The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sokół Kolb. (1,713) and Star Starachowice (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sokół Kolb. win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Star Starachowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sokół Kolb. 1-2 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Star Starachowice 2-0 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sokół Kolb. sit 13th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Star Starachowice.
- Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice played?
- Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026KSZO 1929vsNaprzód
- Sep 5, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsMoravia Morawica
- Sep 5, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 5, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 5, 2026JarosławvsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 5, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsChełmianka Chełm
- Sep 5, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 5, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsWiślanie Jaśkowice