Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec
The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
Czarni Połaniec starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 3-2 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-0 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 3-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
- The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
- Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?
- Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026KSZO 1929vsNaprzód
- Sep 5, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsMoravia Morawica
- Sep 5, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 5, 2026JarosławvsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 5, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsChełmianka Chełm
- Sep 5, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsStar Starachowice
- Sep 5, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 5, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsWiślanie Jaśkowice