Worksop Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Windsor Foodservice Stadium, Worksop, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Worksop Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worksop Town vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Worksop Town (1,810) and Buxton (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worksop Town have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Worksop Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Buxton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Worksop Town 1-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Buxton 3-1 Worksop Town | National League - North |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Worksop Town 0-0 Buxton | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Worksop Town vs Buxton on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worksop Town score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worksop Town | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worksop Town sit 10th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Worksop Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worksop Town vs Buxton?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Worksop Town.
- Where and when is Worksop Town vs Buxton played?
- Worksop Town vs Buxton is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Windsor Foodservice Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.