Bylis vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Adush Muça, Ballsh
The Footlab model makes Bylis the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bylis vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
Bylis starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bylis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vora(away) | 2-5 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | AF Elbasani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bylis win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | Bylis 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-2 Bylis | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Bylis vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Jan 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bylis score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bylis | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bylis vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
- The Footlab model makes Bylis the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is Bylis vs Besëlidhja Lezhë played?
- Bylis vs Besëlidhja Lezhë is played on September 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Adush Muça, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.