Bzenec vs Baťov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Fotbalový Stadión Bzenec, Bzenec
The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Baťov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bzenec vs Baťov?
Bzenec starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bzenec have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Baťov have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hodonín(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 1-5 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Břeclav(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brumov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SK Krumvir(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bzenec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Baťov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Baťov 1-3 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bzenec 0-1 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| May 17, 2025 | Bzenec 3-0 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Baťov 2-3 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| May 4, 2024 | Bzenec 7-1 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Baťov 0-1 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Bzenec score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baťov score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bzenec | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Baťov | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bzenec sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie E (0 points from 2 matches) and Baťov sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bzenec | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 14 | Baťov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Baťov | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Bzenec | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bzenec vs Baťov?
- The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Baťov.
- Where and when is Bzenec vs Baťov played?
- Bzenec vs Baťov is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Fotbalový Stadión Bzenec, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.