Nové Sady vs Břeclav: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Nové Sady, Olomouc
The Footlab model makes Břeclav the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Nové Sady. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nové Sady vs Břeclav?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Nové Sady (1,448) and Břeclav (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nové Sady have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Břeclav have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bzenec(home) | 2-4 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tatran Všechovice(away) | 1-6 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Šumperk(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kroměříž II(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nové Sady win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Břeclav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nové Sady 1-3 Břeclav | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Břeclav 2-4 Nové Sady | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Nové Sady score 0.9 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Břeclav score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nové Sady | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Břeclav | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nové Sady sit 15th in 4. liga - Divizie E (0 points from 2 matches) and Břeclav sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Nové Sady | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Nové Sady | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nové Sady vs Břeclav?
- The Footlab model makes Břeclav the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Nové Sady.
- Where and when is Nové Sady vs Břeclav played?
- Nové Sady vs Břeclav is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Nové Sady, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.