Bzenec vs Kroměříž II: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fotbalový Stadión Bzenec, Bzenec
The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kroměříž II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bzenec vs Kroměříž II?
Bzenec starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bzenec have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Kroměříž II have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hodonín(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 1-5 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Břeclav(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hluk(away) | 1-4 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Břeclav(home) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Břeclav(away) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| May 31, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bzenec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kroměříž II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kroměříž II 0-2 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bzenec 2-3 Kroměříž II | 4. liga - Divizie E |
Last archived meeting: Kroměříž II vs Bzenec on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bzenec score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kroměříž II score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bzenec | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Kroměříž II | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bzenec sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie E (0 points from 2 matches) and Kroměříž II sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bzenec | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | Kroměříž II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Kroměříž II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Bzenec | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bzenec vs Kroměříž II?
- The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kroměříž II.
- Where and when is Bzenec vs Kroměříž II played?
- Bzenec vs Kroměříž II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fotbalový Stadión Bzenec, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.