Kozlovice vs Břeclav: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Areal Sportu Kozlovice, Kozlovice
The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Břeclav. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozlovice vs Břeclav?
Kozlovice starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozlovice have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Břeclav have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Strání(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bzenec(home) | 5-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kroměříž II(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kozlovice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Břeclav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kozlovice 1-0 Břeclav | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Břeclav 0-2 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Kozlovice score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Břeclav score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozlovice | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Břeclav | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozlovice sit 3rd in 4. liga - Divizie E (4 points from 2 matches) and Břeclav sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kozlovice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Kozlovice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozlovice vs Břeclav?
- The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Břeclav.
- Where and when is Kozlovice vs Břeclav played?
- Kozlovice vs Břeclav is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Areal Sportu Kozlovice, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.