Strání vs Šternberk: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion na Zelničkách, Strání
The Footlab model makes Strání the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Šternberk. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strání vs Šternberk?
Strání starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strání have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Šternberk have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(away) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kozlovice(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hluk(away) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Holešov(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hluk(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Břeclav(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Strání win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Šternberk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Strání 1-1 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Šternberk 1-4 Strání | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| May 11, 2024 | Šternberk 0-3 Strání | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Strání 5-0 Šternberk | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Strání score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Šternberk score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strání | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Šternberk | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strání sit 6th in 4. liga - Divizie E (4 points from 2 matches) and Šternberk sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Strání | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Strání | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Šternberk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Šternberk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strání vs Šternberk?
- The Footlab model makes Strání the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Šternberk.
- Where and when is Strání vs Šternberk played?
- Strání vs Šternberk is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion na Zelničkách, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.