CA La Paz vs Dorados: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Guaycura, La Paz
The Footlab AI model makes CA La Paz the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Dorados. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Dorados?
CA La Paz starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CA La Paz vs Dorados
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CA La Paz
3-4-2-1- 77J. Alonzo
- 5E. Torres
- 20M. García
- 25F. Illescas
- 6D. Hernández
- 13É. Alaffita
- 10M. Barragán
- 28U. Zurita
- 21C. Robles
- 16Yahir Del Aguila
- 33G. Alcalá
Dorados
4-3-3- 29O. Coronel
- 10L. Vargas
- 9J. Rengifo
- 17F. González
- 13German Padilla
- 6D. Guajardo
- 18S. Cervantes
- 4R. Franco
- 32C. Castro
- 20D. Osuna
- 21Jose Castro
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA La Paz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dorados have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tapatío(away) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(home) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leones Negros UDG(away) | 3-6 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Durango(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CA La Paz wins, 2 draws, 1 Dorados win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Dorados 2-2 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | CA La Paz 3-1 Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 12, 2025 | CA La Paz 0-0 Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Dorados 4-0 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 23, 2024 | CA La Paz 1-0 Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Dorados 3-4 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
CA La Paz score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dorados score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA La Paz | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dorados | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA La Paz sit 1st in Liga de Expansión MX (24 points from 13 matches) and Dorados sit 10th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 24 |
| 10 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 16 |
A question about CA La Paz vs Dorados?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA La Paz vs Dorados?
- The Footlab AI model makes CA La Paz the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Dorados.
- Where and when is CA La Paz vs Dorados played?
- CA La Paz vs Dorados is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Guaycura, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.