CA La Paz vs Piratas: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXSemi-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Guaycura, La Paz
The Footlab AI model makes CA La Paz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Piratas. The most likely score is 1-1. If CA La Paz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Piratas?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate CA La Paz (1,927) and Piratas (1,881).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CA La Paz vs Piratas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CA La Paz
3-4-2-1- 10M. Barragán
- 77J. Alonzo
- 30Á. Robles
- 20M. García
- 25F. Illescas
- 5E. Torres
- 9Jordi Ferrer
- 21C. Robles
- 28U. Zurita
- 15H. Torres
- 33G. Alcalá
Piratas
4-3-3- 8B. Figueroa
- 28J. Gamboa
- 25Daniel Lajud
- 4A. Lopez
- 23J. Venegas
- 7O. Soto
- 3K. Jaime
- 6D. Cruz
- 14Rolando González
- 22U. García
- 20H. Hernández
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA La Paz have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Piratas have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Tlaxcala(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dorados(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Cancún(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cancún(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 5-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tepatitlán(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 CA La Paz win, 0 draws, 0 Piratas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA La Paz 2-0 Piratas | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
CA La Paz score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Piratas score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA La Paz | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Piratas | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA La Paz sit 1st in Liga de Expansión MX (30 points from 15 matches) and Piratas sit 4th (25 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 25 |
A question about CA La Paz vs Piratas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA La Paz vs Piratas?
- The Footlab AI model makes CA La Paz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Piratas.
- Where and when is CA La Paz vs Piratas played?
- CA La Paz vs Piratas is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Guaycura, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.