CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes CA River Plate the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Tacuarembo. The most likely score is 1-1. If CA River Plate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,883 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate CA River Plate (1,678) and Tacuarembo (1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CA River Plate
4-3-3- 19R. Pollero
- 9T. Correa
- 18Inti Alessio López Pose
- 20L. Lemos
- 22M. Alfonso
- 10A. Vera
- 3D. Gissi
- 2Facundo Damián Pérez Medina
- 28T. Olmos
- 13C. Almeida
- 1D. Frascarelli
Tacuarembo
4-3-3- 27L. Machado
- 30Douglas Jardel
- DD. Vargas
- 7P. Furtado
- 10F. Mederos
- 17S. Scotto
- 28P. Fagúndez
- 24J. Baeza
- 2A. Piegas
- 29R. Hernández
- 12A. Marsegno
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 07:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA River Plate have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tacuarembo have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 0-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oriental(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Luz(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | La Luz(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CA River Plate win, 1 draw, 1 Tacuarembo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tacuarembo 1-0 CA River Plate | Segunda División |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Tacuarembo 1-3 CA River Plate | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 19, 2014 | CA River Plate 2-2 Tacuarembo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Tacuarembo vs CA River Plate on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CA River Plate score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tacuarembo score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA River Plate | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tacuarembo | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA River Plate sit 7th in Segunda División (33 points from 24 matches) and Tacuarembo sit 13th (25 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CA River Plate | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 33 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 25 |
A question about CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo?
- The Footlab AI model makes CA River Plate the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Tacuarembo.
- Where and when is CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo played?
- CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.