Fenix vs Cerrito: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Capurro, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Fenix the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cerrito. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenix wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,330 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenix vs Cerrito?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Fenix (1,648) and Cerrito (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenix vs Cerrito
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenix
Not enough data to predict the Fenix lineup.
Cerrito
Not enough data to predict the Cerrito lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenix have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Cerrito have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oriental(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-3 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tacuarembo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Luz(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fenix wins, 2 draws, 0 Cerrito wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cerrito 1-1 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fenix 4-1 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Cerrito 2-2 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Fenix 3-2 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Cerrito 0-2 Fenix | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Fenix 2-0 Cerrito | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenix score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerrito score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerrito | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenix sit 10th in Segunda División (30 points from 23 matches) and Cerrito sit 7th (32 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cerrito | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Fenix | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 30 |
A question about Fenix vs Cerrito?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenix vs Cerrito?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenix the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cerrito.
- Where and when is Fenix vs Cerrito played?
- Fenix vs Cerrito is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Capurro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.