Cabeza Buey vs Montijo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cabeza Buey the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Montijo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cabeza Buey vs Montijo?
Cabeza Buey starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cabeza Buey vs Montijo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cabeza Buey
Not enough data to predict the Cabeza Buey lineup.
Montijo
Not enough data to predict the Montijo lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cabeza Buey have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Montijo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villanovense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cabeza Buey wins, 1 draw, 0 Montijo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Montijo 1-3 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Montijo 1-1 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Cabeza Buey 1-0 Montijo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Montijo vs Cabeza Buey on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cabeza Buey score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Montijo score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabeza Buey | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Montijo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cabeza Buey sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (13 points from 9 matches) and Montijo sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 15 | Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Cabeza Buey vs Montijo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cabeza Buey vs Montijo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cabeza Buey the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Montijo.
- Where and when is Cabeza Buey vs Montijo played?
- Cabeza Buey vs Montijo is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.