Villanovense vs Moralo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Villanovense, Villanueva de la Serena
The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Moralo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villanovense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villanovense vs Moralo?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Villanovense (1,828) and Moralo (1,859).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villanovense vs Moralo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villanovense
Not enough data to predict the Villanovense lineup.
Moralo
Not enough data to predict the Moralo lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanovense have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Moralo have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Plasencia(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Castuera(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Villanovense win, 1 draw, 3 Moralo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Moralo 2-1 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Moralo 3-0 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Villanovense 0-1 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Villanovense 4-0 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Moralo 1-1 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Moralo vs Villanovense on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villanovense score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Moralo score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanovense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Moralo | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villanovense sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (18 points from 10 matches) and Moralo sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Moralo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
A question about Villanovense vs Moralo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villanovense vs Moralo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Moralo.
- Where and when is Villanovense vs Moralo played?
- Villanovense vs Moralo is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Villanovense, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.