Puebla Calzada vs Jerez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Fútbol Puebla de la Calzada, Puebla de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes Puebla Calzada the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Jerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Puebla Calzada wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla Calzada vs Jerez?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Puebla Calzada (1,739) and Jerez (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puebla Calzada vs Jerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puebla Calzada
Not enough data to predict the Puebla Calzada lineup.
Jerez
Not enough data to predict the Jerez lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla Calzada have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jerez have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Puebla Calzada wins, 4 draws, 1 Jerez win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jerez 2-2 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Jerez 2-2 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Puebla Calzada 0-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Jerez 1-0 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Puebla Calzada 3-3 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Jerez vs Puebla Calzada on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla Calzada score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jerez score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla Calzada | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Jerez | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla Calzada sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (14 points from 9 matches) and Jerez sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Puebla Calzada vs Jerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla Calzada vs Jerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Puebla Calzada the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Jerez.
- Where and when is Puebla Calzada vs Jerez played?
- Puebla Calzada vs Jerez is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Fútbol Puebla de la Calzada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.