Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cabeza Buey the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Santa Amalia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia?
Cabeza Buey starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cabeza Buey
Not enough data to predict the Cabeza Buey lineup.
Santa Amalia
Not enough data to predict the Santa Amalia lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cabeza Buey have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Amalia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cabeza Buey win, 2 draws, 0 Santa Amalia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santa Amalia 3-3 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Cabeza Buey 3-0 Santa Amalia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Santa Amalia 0-0 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Amalia vs Cabeza Buey on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cabeza Buey score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Amalia score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabeza Buey | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Santa Amalia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cabeza Buey sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (13 points from 10 matches) and Santa Amalia sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cabeza Buey | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cabeza Buey the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Santa Amalia.
- Where and when is Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia played?
- Cabeza Buey vs Santa Amalia is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.