Jerez vs Villanovense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván, Jerez de los Caballeros
The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Jerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villanovense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jerez vs Villanovense?
Villanovense starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jerez vs Villanovense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jerez
Not enough data to predict the Jerez lineup.
Villanovense
Not enough data to predict the Villanovense lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jerez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Villanovense have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Jerez win, 1 draw, 2 Villanovense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villanovense 5-1 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villanovense 2-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Jerez 2-1 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Villanovense 0-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Villanovense vs Jerez on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jerez score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Villanovense score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerez | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Villanovense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jerez sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (12 points from 10 matches) and Villanovense sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Villanovense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 14 | Jerez | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Jerez vs Villanovense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jerez vs Villanovense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Jerez.
- Where and when is Jerez vs Villanovense played?
- Jerez vs Villanovense is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.