Montijo vs Gévora: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Emilio Macarro Rodriguez, Montijo
The Footlab AI model makes Montijo the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Gévora. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montijo vs Gévora?
On Elo ratings, Montijo has 1,760 points and Gévora 1,696.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montijo vs Gévora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montijo
Not enough data to predict the Montijo lineup.
Gévora
Not enough data to predict the Gévora lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montijo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gévora have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llerenense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Quintana(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montijo win, 0 draws, 1 Gévora win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montijo 0-1 Gévora | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Gévora 1-3 Montijo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Montijo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gévora score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montijo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gévora | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montijo sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (7 points from 6 matches) and Gévora sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gévora | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 10 | Montijo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Montijo vs Gévora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montijo vs Gévora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montijo the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Gévora.
- Where and when is Montijo vs Gévora played?
- Montijo vs Gévora is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Emilio Macarro Rodriguez, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.