Cacahuatique vs Alianza: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 16Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Chapeltique, Chapeltique
The Footlab AI model makes Alianza the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Cacahuatique. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alianza wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cacahuatique vs Alianza?
Alianza starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,495).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cacahuatique vs Alianza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cacahuatique
Not enough data to predict the Cacahuatique lineup.
Alianza
4-3-3- 10L. Menjívar
- 9Gustavo Souza
- 10L. Menjivar
- 7M. Mier
- 6N. Orellana
- 8H. Osorio
- 19N. A. Rodriguez Arias
- 16H. Romero
- 23J. Monteagudo
- 3J. Sibrián
- 13M. González
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacahuatique have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Alianza have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Águila(away) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cacahuatique wins, 2 draws, 4 Alianza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza 0-0 Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Alianza 2-1 Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Cacahuatique 1-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Alianza 3-0 Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Cacahuatique 1-2 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Alianza 2-1 Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Alianza vs Cacahuatique on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cacahuatique score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacahuatique | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alianza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cacahuatique sit 12th in Primera Division (11 points from 15 matches) and Alianza sit 7th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alianza | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 12 | Cacahuatique | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
A question about Cacahuatique vs Alianza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cacahuatique vs Alianza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alianza the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Cacahuatique.
- Where and when is Cacahuatique vs Alianza played?
- Cacahuatique vs Alianza is played on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Chapeltique, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.