Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido: result 3-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2024 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Caerau (Ely) won 3-2 on April 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 28′L. GriffithsAfan Lido (pen.)
- 34′?Afan Lido
- 68′?Caerau (Ely)
- 80′?Caerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Afan Lido have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Taffs Well(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Briton Ferry(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Taffs Well(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Abergavenny Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Goytre United(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Caerau (Ely) win, 0 draws, 3 Afan Lido wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 4-1 Afan Lido | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Afan Lido 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Afan Lido 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido on Oct 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 2.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Afan Lido | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Afan Lido sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy