Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido: result 4-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup2nd RoundKick-off on October 17, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Caerau (Ely) won 4-1 on October 17, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Afan Lido have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2023 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Cardiff Corinthians(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Caerau (Ely) win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Afan Lido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2023 | Afan Lido 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Afan Lido 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 0-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) on Aug 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 2.2 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Afan Lido | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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