Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 1-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 4Kick-off on August 22, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-0 on August 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Cefn Cribwr(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Caerau (Ely) win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Baglan Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 22, 2025Ammanford AFC1-0Treowen Stars
- Aug 22, 2025Newport City1-1Ynyshir Albions
- Aug 22, 2025Pontypridd Town1-2Cardiff Draconians
- Aug 22, 2025Carmarthen Town1-0Aberystwyth Town
- Aug 22, 2025Trefelin4-0Cwmbran Celtic
- Aug 22, 2025Cambrian & Clydach2-1Llantwit Major
- Aug 22, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds3-2Afan Lido