Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons: result 1-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 4Kick-off on August 22, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-0 on August 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Cefn Cribwr(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Caerau (Ely) wins, 0 draws, 2 Baglan Dragons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 22, 2025Ammanford AFC1-0Treowen Stars
- Aug 22, 2025Newport City1-1Ynyshir Albions
- Aug 22, 2025Pontypridd Town1-2Cardiff Draconians
- Aug 22, 2025Carmarthen Town1-0Aberystwyth Town
- Aug 22, 2025Trefelin4-0Cwmbran Celtic
- Aug 22, 2025Cambrian & Clydach2-1Llantwit Major
- Aug 22, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds3-2Afan Lido