Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town: result 3-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?
Carmarthen Town won 3-4 on February 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 47′C. McNamaraCarmarthen Town (o.g.)
- 58′644762Carmarthen Town
- 68′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)
- 69′598352Carmarthen Town
- 73′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)
- 86′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 90′623822Carmarthen Town (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Caerau (Ely) wins, 3 draws, 3 Carmarthen Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Carmarthen Town 1-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 1-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 2-4 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Caerau (Ely) 0-4 Carmarthen Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2026Afan Lido1-0Trethomas Bluebirds
- Feb 20, 2026Trefelin2-0Ynyshir Albions
- Feb 20, 2026Newport City2-1Llantwit Major
- Feb 21, 2026Pontypridd Town2-0Baglan Dragons
- Feb 21, 2026Treowen Stars1-0Cardiff Draconians
- Mar 24, 2026Ammanford AFC0-0Cambrian & Clydach
- Apr 11, 2026Cwmbran Celtic3-1Aberystwyth Town