Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major: result 3-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 22Kick-off on February 2, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?
Caerau (Ely) won 3-2 on February 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 16′?Caerau (Ely)
- 61′?Caerau (Ely)
- 67′?Llantwit Major
- 71′?Llantwit Major
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 6-3 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Trefelin(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Taffs Well(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caerau (Ely) win, 1 draw, 0 Llantwit Major wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely) on Sep 30, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.3 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 1.3 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy