Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City: result 4-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on October 21, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?
Caerau (Ely) won 4-3 on October 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 39′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 39′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)
- 44′L. CooperNewport City
- 51′613405Newport City
- 69′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 90′635596Newport City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Newport City have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Morriston Town(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Treowen Stars(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penydarren BGC(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Penygraig United FC(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Caerau (Ely) win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Newport City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | Newport City 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 1-2 Newport City | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newport City vs Caerau (Ely) on Dec 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newport City score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Newport City | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 11th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Newport City sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Newport City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2025Pontypridd Town5-2Treowen Stars
- Oct 3, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds1-1Ammanford AFC
- Oct 4, 2025Cardiff Draconians2-1Cwmbran Celtic
- Oct 4, 2025Baglan Dragons1-1Llantwit Major
- Oct 4, 2025Carmarthen Town0-0Cambrian & Clydach
- Oct 4, 2025Trefelin0-0Afan Lido
- Nov 22, 2025Aberystwyth Town4-0Ynyshir Albions