Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City: result 4-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on October 21, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?
Caerau (Ely) won 4-3 on October 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 39′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 39′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)
- 44′L. CooperNewport City
- 51′613405Newport City
- 69′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 90′635596Newport City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Newport City have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Morriston Town(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Treowen Stars(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penydarren BGC(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Penygraig United FC(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Caerau (Ely) wins, 0 draws, 2 Newport City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | Newport City 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 1-2 Newport City | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newport City vs Caerau (Ely) on Dec 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newport City score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Newport City | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerau (Ely) sit 4th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Newport City sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2025Pontypridd Town5-2Treowen Stars
- Oct 3, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds1-1Ammanford AFC
- Oct 4, 2025Cardiff Draconians2-1Cwmbran Celtic
- Oct 4, 2025Baglan Dragons1-1Llantwit Major
- Oct 4, 2025Carmarthen Town0-0Cambrian & Clydach
- Oct 4, 2025Trefelin0-0Afan Lido
- Nov 22, 2025Aberystwyth Town4-0Ynyshir Albions