Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major?
Baglan Dragons and Llantwit Major drew 1-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′L. BevanLlantwit Major
- 90′573767Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Baglan Dragons wins, 2 draws, 1 Llantwit Major win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Llantwit Major 2-0 Baglan Dragons | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Llantwit Major 0-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy