Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major?
Baglan Dragons and Llantwit Major drew 1-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′L. BevanLlantwit Major
- 90′573767Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Baglan Dragons win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Llantwit Major win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Llantwit Major 2-0 Baglan Dragons | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Llantwit Major 0-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy