Caernarfon Town vs Cefn Druids AFC: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 1Kick-off on August 12, 2018 at 04:15 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Cefn Druids AFC?
Caernarfon Town won 1-0 on August 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 21′Cai Llywelyn JonesCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Cefn Druids AFC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2018 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Barry Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Berriew(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Lex XI(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Bala Town(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2018 | FK Trakai(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jun 28, 2018 | FK Trakai(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| May 20, 2018 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2018 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Bangor City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 3.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cefn Druids AFC score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 3.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Cefn Druids AFC | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy