Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?
Caernarfon Town won 1-0 on October 4, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 71′Robert Jamie BreeseCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; The New Saints have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2019 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Penybont(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Barry Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2019 | Airbus UK(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2019 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 6-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2019 | Cardiff MET(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 The New Saints win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2019 | The New Saints 1-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | The New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2018 | The New Saints 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 1-3 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town on Aug 18, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 1.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| The New Saints | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and The New Saints sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy